Sandy is coming

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And so, with the hype like we have had in the past and people freaked out and canceled and we were supposed to eat it, what do we do this time? We are not near the coast, but the map shows us as being in a target. http://www.weather.com/

 

"Though we feel that it's likely Sandy will hit some portion of the Northeast or Mid-Atlantic coast, there remains uncertainty with the exact timing, location and magnitude of the worst impacts. The forecast involves a rare, complex atmospheric setup that will allow the system to pivot back to the northwest into the region rather than simply moving out to sea."

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The weather map shows the eye of the hurricane has been sitting right over West Virginia all day. Predictions I saw yesterday said it would pass over New Jersey then turn north and east and pass over Vermont and New Hampshire. Instead it's going south and west! I guess Sandy didn't get the message on what she's supposed to do!

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An update from north central West Virginia - WE have power and it is starting to snow - so far a dusting on cars but the ground is still too warm or else is rain soaked. We are predicted for 1 to 3 inches. The counties east and south of me have 20 inches or more and are still snowing.  Once again, so far, we are here to be a sanctuary if needed.

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We never did get any high winds. Just a couple of gusts and about 5 inches of rain now. Some flurries around here and they got about 6 or so inches up on Skyline Drive. Looking out our front door, you can tell the 2000 ft. level where there is the blanket of snow up to the top at about 3600 ft.  They can keep it up there.

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Well, 8:30 AM here and I'm looking out at sunny skies and a school bus stopping across the street. I'm kind of surprised to see the bus.

Looks like another storm is headed here as I can see a wall of clouds moving in.

Power is still on. Doesn't look like any trees came down in the yard. Whew!

Already had a call from another innkeeper about 5 miles from here- no power there. Saw there were incredible floods in NYC. My brother lost power in NY early on.

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Looking forward to hearing updates from everyone this morning.  We need a Roll Call!

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To put some perspective on how large and intense this storm really is, Sandy is over a thousand miles away from me, and still, we're getting "storm surge" if you want to call it that.  We (and everyone else along the entire coast) have higher than usual tides with the full moon, and then the storm is pushing the sea south between Florida and the Bahamas, against the Gulfstream which runs north making for 15' seas out there (the Gulfstream is just 7 miles offshore from here).  That's quite telling as to how much energy Sandy has. All of that is creating huge tides.  Miami Beach is still flooded, as is A1A in Fort Lauderdale, and seawater is over my piers - I've NEVER seen that before, not since Hurricane Wilma which was a direct hit.  While the wind did die down, I'm still getting some ugly gusts tonight - worse today than a day or so ago.

Given what I'm still seeing here, I cannot even imagine how bad it is up north where Sandy really is.   I have friends up in the Northeast who could not get their boats hauled - just too many boats to haul in the time that they had.  And those that did get hauled and put on stands...the surge is going to (if not already) float them off.  It's not like these size boats can be hauled out and trucked inland; they're just too big.  I saw some photos from early afternoon and the water was already creeping up on the bottoms of the hulls for those boats on the hard, fuel docks gone, etc., and the storm had not even fully arrived yet.  I'm afraid I'm going to have several utterly devastated friends tomorrow morning; I hope none of you are in that group.  Sad  Be safe.

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gillumhouse's picture
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You also stay safe.

Arks's picture
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I heard there's a webcam on the torch of the Statue of Liberty that shows the NYC skyline. It would be good to watch the storm progress on, but I can't get it to load. Probably too many other people had the same idea and swamped the system!

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I heard there's a webcam in the torch of the Statue of Liberty that shows the NYC skyline. It would be good to watch the storm progress on, but I can't get it to load. Probably too many other people had the same idea and swamped the system!

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This is the best radar to keep on your screen

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Thanks for this....am watching this as my family is in the middle of all this!

 

 

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Kay Nein's picture
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Thinking of your family this morning.  Hope they are all ok.

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I like this map http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/10/26/us/hurricane-sandy-map.html it gives you the percentage chance of being in the storm path and shows you the current thought on where the path is going. The pink path is the uncertainty. It does appear to be moving west and looping back to visit me... but after I'm gone on vacation, hopefully. 

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I like this one for its interactive features and reliability.  The discussion sections give more detail if anyone is interested in the data and not the hype. One of the many great things our government does for us smiley

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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Eric Arthur Blair wrote:

I like this map http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/10/26/us/hurricane-sandy-map.html it gives you the percentage chance of being in the storm path and shows you the current thought on where the path is going. The pink path is the uncertainty. It does appear to be moving west and looping back to visit me... but after I'm gone on vacation, hopefully. 

Yes the path, but we are expecting 50-75MPH winds for the next two to three days here, and worse than the derecho that tore our roof off and took trees down everywhere.

Funny in SW VA a max sec prison is on half staff today, and yet the schools are still in! Go figure. 

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Everything here on the coast in Southern NE is cancelled.  We are about 250 miles from the center of this storm with winds currently at 38 mph and gusts to 50 mph.  At the moment we are not projected to be in the direct path of the eye.  But that will not matter with this storm because as it merges with the other two storm systems the whole huge thing will just come roaring through.  

The great salt marsh we look out on is completely covered as the Atlantic as over-washed the outer barrier beach and is lapping at the shore at the base of the hill that keeps us high and dry. The howl of the wind is enough to keep me inside although I am tempted to get out to see if the road below us is washed over. Actually I am pleasantly surprised that we still have power.  yes

 

 

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Starting to get windy here but it is really warm outside.

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It is starting to rain harder here now. A friend in D.C. just called and said the town is a ghost town. Winds are just now starting to pick up there. Thankfully we are too warm for snow..but at the top of Skyline Drive elevation is high enough they may get some. Guess we all just have to hope and pray it won't be as bad as they predict. Hang in there everyone!

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EmptyNest wrote:

It is starting to rain harder here now. A friend in D.C. just called and said the town is a ghost town. Winds are just now starting to pick up there. Thankfully we are too warm for snow..but at the top of Skyline Drive elevation is high enough they may get some. Guess we all just have to hope and pray it won't be as bad as they predict. Hang in there everyone!

We are in the same boat that the jet stream will be pushing the cold air down over the mountains to meet up with the hurricane force winds on the western side of this storm. We had guests who wanted to stay tonight, they had to drive home to Jersey otherwise, and I had to tell them sorry. We have our own stuff to deal with, in fact, not sure about the legalities but I don't want another person on the property when something severe happens like this. I felt terrible but they understood.  We are going to get snow, rain and wind 50-75 mph tonight. Leaves on the trees here so it won't be pretty later on.

We have alt heat and cook-top gas, I am making a big pot of soup in the crockpot and have other things lined up in case we need them. Had to bring all the plants in, including 21 ferns into the glass house downstairs, and baby it's cold out there! brrrrrrrrrrrrr

Stay safe everyone! Don't take any chances.

 

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You did the 100% right thing to send them home (1) its safer for them and (2) you have more than enough on dealing with your own storm protection!

My DH was just quickly looking over this thread "what do people do in a storm sort of ring in sick?" im like pretty sure if that hits your area no one is giving a toss about you coming in for work!!!!! (unless you are fire or ambulance or course!)

Everyone stay safe and don't even think about taking any risks!

 

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So sad that the HMS Bounty sank off the coast of NC. 2 crew members were washed overboard while trying to get into life boats.

There was already flooding here at high tide earlier today. Sorry to see the lunatics who are out there taking the photos along the beaches and dragging their kids along with them.

I know what you mean about not having guests in case of severe weather.

Our power blipped out an hour ago. Heard a transformer pop somewhere down the street so that might just have been a squirrel! It doesn't look very windy but it sounds very windy!

Here's a short video from nearby: http://bangordailynews.com/2012/10/29/news/midcoast/hurricane-sandy-send...

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Madeleine wrote:

So sad that the HMS Bounty sank off the coast of NC. 2 crew members were washed overboard while trying to get into life boats.

There was already flooding here at high tide earlier today. Sorry to see the lunatics who are out there taking the photos along the beaches and dragging their kids along with them.

I know what you mean about not having guests in case of severe weather.

Our power blipped out an hour ago. Heard a transformer pop somewhere down the street so that might just have been a squirrel! It doesn't look very windy but it sounds very windy!

Here's a short video from nearby: http://bangordailynews.com/2012/10/29/news/midcoast/hurricane-sandy-send...

What the heck were they thinking...I don't get that one. Every boat along there was lifted out of the water or far gone before this one hit. 

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Blizzard condition alert in the mountains 60 miles from me. We might get a couple inches. Wind is gathering gusts here and it has been raining. We have friends coming in tomorrow - they are in Kentucky right now - and they have to be in Norfolk Thursday. I think we have convinced them to stay here Tues & Wed. By Thursday morning things should be settled down a bit - I hope.

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gillumhouse wrote:

Blizzard condition alert in the mountains 60 miles from me. We might get a couple inches. Wind is gathering gusts here and it has been raining. We have friends coming in tomorrow - they are in Kentucky right now - and they have to be in Norfolk Thursday. I think we have convinced them to stay here Tues & Wed. By Thursday morning things should be settled down a bit - I hope.

Norfolk will be closed. It is flooding today right now, I have acquaintances there, I saw photos. And getting from you to there would be VERY DANGEROUS at this point. Schools are all closed here now as well. With derecho there were power outages for weeks around here. We had days, most had weeks and weeks.

I think by Thursday they will have a better picture to move onward... Smiling  

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That is what I figured. There is some sort of ceremony (at Newport I think) on Friday that they are going there for - Rev War at a guess. We knew them when we were in the North west Terr itory Alli ance - a Rev War living history group. They were artillery. They have 2 cannons and a howitzer  - we were sutlers as DH was the gunsmith.

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It's been unseasonably warm around here. Right now, it's 16c. It was over 20c yesterday... shorts wearing weather.

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Yes...here too.  61 degrees...kind of weird since we are usually getting this kind of nor'easter in during the cold season.   The winds should die down some before they get to you....right?

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Silverspoon wrote:

Yes...here too.  61 degrees...kind of weird since we are usually getting this kind of nor'easter in during the cold season.   The winds should die down some before they get to you....right?

I've taken in all the lightweight lawn furniture anyway. The stuff that generally falls over when it's windy. I think the last report said gusts of 50 MPH.

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All out Talk Radio programming is centered on this storm after the derecho we already experienced - no one is taking chances. They are on blizzard warning in the mountains. We have cold and rain right now and more with high winds expected tomorrow and the next couple days. One problem my State has is a lack of flatland for the water to go to. Comes down the mountains into creeks, runs, and streams then over the banks on the way to swell up the rivers.

The power company sent out an alert to the municipalities re measures they are taking and messages for safety to their citizens. The power company has tree companies, contractors, and electricians on stand-by just in case.

The storm itself will not get to me (but is predicted for muirford's area) but we will get the  backlash wind/rain/snow.

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Batten down the hatches and take care. We had a guest check out early yesterday to take the train home before the storm. And I have two different cousins who are right in the path. The worst of which is their new home in PA is right in the exact path at the moment. I hope everyone gets through this. Around here they are worrying about flooding, mostly.

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Prayers for all of you in the path-

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We're in Boston at the moment, hoping to fly home on Monday night. Looks as though the worst will bypass here, so hopefully we won't be delayed too much.

weve only got one booking for next week so if the worst comes to the worst ill have to email and cancel it. 

 

Hope everyone else is ok.

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Oh My HJ,  I would be surprised if you get out of Boston on Monday night.  The winds will still be honking and I suspect that the entire NE will be shut down by early Monday morning.  You had better get a plan B ready.

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We are supposed to fly to NYC on the 31st and leave from NJ on a cruise on the 2nd. I'm worried that we are going to lose this vacation, now.

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Well, we pushed back by a day. The hotel is prepaid, so we called to tell them that we would arrive a day late but to hold one of the two nights. They refused our notification and insisted that we have to call the OTA and have them fax the change to them. What kind of customer service is that? I'm not arguing about paying you, I'm just telling you that you can resell the first day because I won't be there, but I will arrive for the second day. You would think it would take a minute to mark it on the reservation. Instead, I have to call the OTA, wait on the phone for them, they have to call you and then fax you and what could have taken a minute to fix, now takes two people and an hour.

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They don't believe you.  They will fall in line once they are assured that you are telling them the truth and they receive notification from OTA.  A bit of a pain but I bet they get all kinds of excuses.wink

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Seriously, the OTA says to call them direct and tell them. I do. They send me back to the OTA. Waste of my time. In any case, I'm insured... under three different policies, including one direct from the OTA. I don't travel without travel insurance.

(The software malfunctioned and bought the online policy. We have the automatic policy under our CC and we have an annual policy as part of our extended health insurance policy. I called our CC company and said "covered". So if their insurance turns me down, I'm still getting my money back.)

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Hope you had a great visit.

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Interactive map based on zip code- http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/10/26/us/hurricane-sandy-map.html

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This is tongue in cheek, but real. Happening now, in fact.  Frankenstorm Approacheth!

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Hope all will be well with you and everyone it Sandy's path. My husband just got done cabling a big spruce tree in our yard the other day. Hope it holds. We don't want to lose it.

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I am trying to get someone to come give an estimate on taking down the blue spruce DH would not let the power company take down for free when we first moved here. NOW they do not do it!! Man was supposed to come yesterday - did not! I am afraid it is going to come down and either take out my house or take out half the utilities in town.

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EmptyNest wrote:

Hope all will be well with you and everyone it Sandy's path. My husband just got done cabling a big spruce tree in our yard the other day. Hope it holds. We don't want to lose it.

I am going to email you as DH asked what technique did he use, the ibolts through the tree or the newer cabling?  (He will be here in a moment so I can email as ask). 

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I guess you got the roof repaired from the last storm. Hope it holds this time!!!

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I hope it totally misses you.Praying for you all

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Although an uncommon practice, even in my world, I DO cancel with full refund for "named storm" events.  Frankly, I don't want people here when we have a storm because there's no telling what will happen, what/where we might move to, or just how unpleasant it will be.  And I don't want them in my way in the days before because we get very busy preparing.  I can imagine it's the same in terms of time required to prep for landlubbers, too.  This is only for named storm events - not for "it's going to be rainy this weekend."  It doesn't really cost me anything in terms of wasted food because we know ahead of time what's coming and I don't buy perishables that far in advance anyway.  Other people tell their customers that that's what travel insurance is for, but to me, I think it's just not fair.  Like I said, I'm fairly alone in my opinion and practice, but I feel better taking the position that I do.

As for Sandy, she passed us well to the east of us yesterday, over the Far  Bahamas.  She is a large storm in terms of surface coverage, and we had a lot of wind (clocking a little over 60 mph at times), much like Isaac brought us not too long ago, but it wasn't too bad.  I slept way better last night than I thought I would.  For those of you up in the Chessie, this isn't going to be pretty.  I've read reports that Sandy is going to rival "The Perfect Storm of 1991", and that one was bad enough that they made a movie based upon it.  Prayers for everyone.  Keep in touch here best you can so we know you're alright.

In the wake of Sandy, we will be enjoying some much sought after 50-degree nights in the next day or two.  Time to open the windows and change out the air inside.  Crisp, cool, DRY air.

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It all depends on when it comes around, we have guests from Nova Scotia and all over this weekend. If it holds off til Monday I would be forever grateful.

This is our last big bang for the year, and hopefully not our THIRD BIG BANG, ie natural disaster and call to the insurance company on speed dial.  Never spoke to them in 9 years, but this year, twice already, we don't even have all the lightning damage repaired yet, or paid for.

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This is one of those times when the storm won't hit here because we have no guests at any time during the period the storm may hit here. If we were full, that puppy would change course and head for here. Like it did last year. When we lost power and had guests demanding refunds because we had no lights.

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Had a full house last night but the guests in the cottage who live in MD decided to leave a day early to fly home before the storm hit.  No early departure refund from us since we should be OK until Monday.  Just finishing putting all the outdoor furniture, planters and screens away.  After the "Perfect Storm" on Halloween in '91 we don't take anything for granted and prepare for the worst.

Thinking of all of you in the DC area and wishing you luck in getting through this storm in one piece.

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Have a friend who lives in NY who is stuck in FL. No flights going out to NY. She tried to get out early. She and 50,000 other people! So, she's hanging out and hoping for the best back home.

My folks are in LV and wondering when they should start the drive back to NY. Definitely after everything has blown thru as they don't want to be there when the power is still out.

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